By Amado Inigo
MANILA — An independent research group based inside the University of the Philippines in Diliman, Quezon City said Sunday that more and more Filipinos are dying of Covid-19 these days.
And the epicenter of which is no other than the epicenter of coronavirus disease in the Philippines — the National Capital Region (NCR) the OCTA Research group said.
According to OCTA Research team’s published report, NCR’s case fatality rate (CFR) in Metro Manila has increased from 1.8 percent last October 2020 to 2.02 percent nowadays.
“This means a higher percentage of people are dying due to Covid-19,” OCTA said adding that there are 100,250 active cases in Metro Manila, and based on the CFR of about two percent, 2,091 of them will soon die although the CFR in different age groups may vary.
The mortality rate for those aged 65 and above as of Saturday (10 April 2021) was at 12.82 percent; 6.34 percent for those aged 60-64, 3.54 percent for those aged 55 to 59 and 0.66 percent for those aged 18 to 55 the OCTA Research group said.
It also noted that the reproduction number of Covid cases in Metro Manila decreased to 1.24 from April 4 to 10, a week after the imposition of Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ).
OCTA also pegged the average number of NCR’s new coronavirus cases at 4,676 which is “15 percent lower compared to the previous week.”
The group also explained that the reproduction number is crucial as it indicates how infectious a disease is, and the current number means that each carrier transmits more than one infection.
Earlier, the Department of Health reported 11,681 new cases, bringing the total to 864,868.
The DOH also logged a high number of fatalities at 201 that pushed the death toll up to 14,945. (AI/MTVN)