Despite high Covid-19 reproduction rate, NCR still at low risk

Despite high Covid-19 reproduction rate, NCR still at low risk

In its latest monitoring report, the OCTA research group also reported the reproduction number in the NCR is only at 0.54. The reproduction number is used to describe the number of people who can get the virus from a Covid-19 positive person. (Photo: Philippines News Agency)

By Tracy Cabrera

MANILA — Local health experts are reminding the public to continue observing minimum health safety protocols, particularly the wearing of face masks, because the worst is not yet over ang the reproduction rate of Covid-19 has shown a marked increase even as the number of cases multiplied by about a fifth in the National Capital Region (NCR) a week after the May 9 elections.

The reproduction rate, which gauges the capacity of the coronavirus to spread, rose in Metro Manila to the ‘moderate risk’ level, according to the independent monitoring group OCTA Research. The Covid reproduction number in the NCR was pegged at 0.90 from May 13 to May 19, up from the ‘low risk’ level of 0.76 from May 6 to May 12.

“At this rate, a confirmed Covid-19 case may infect one other individual,” OCTA fellow Dr. Guido David cited while disclosing that the seven-day average of new infections also climbed by 19 percent to 71 cases during the same period from 59 cases in the previous week.

“But overall, Metro Manila remained at low risk for Covid-19 as other indicators, namely, average daily attack rate, positivity rate and health-care utilization, either remained unchanged or did not indicate enough significant movement to raise the region to a higher risk level,” David quickly added.

Meanwhile, the Department of Health (DoH) claimed that in Metro Manila’s two-week growth rate, one of the metrics it used in determining any significant rise in infections was based on the -17 percent recorded as of last May 19. (ai/mtvn)

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