MANILA — Rains are expected over the eastern sections of Northern and Central Luzon on Sunday (20 Oct 2024), brought by the trough of a low-pressure area (LPA), according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

In its early morning bulletin, PAGASA reported that the LPA, currently outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), is anticipated to enter the country by Sunday afternoon or evening. The system has the potential to develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours.

Should the LPA intensify within PAR, it will be named “Kristine,” becoming the 11th tropical cyclone of the year.

Meanwhile, cloudy skies with light to moderate rains and isolated thunderstorms are expected over Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Quezon, due to the LPA’s trough.

The Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) will also cause cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms over Zamboanga Peninsula, the Bangsamoro Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao, as well as the provinces of Sultan Kudarat, Sarangani, and Palawan.

PAGASA warns of possible flash floods or landslides in vulnerable areas during periods of moderate to heavy rainfall and severe thunderstorms.

The Eastern Visayas, Bicol Region, and the rest of the country, including Metro Manila, will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers or thunderstorms.

No gale warnings have been issued for any of the country’s seaboards.

ia/mnm