MANILA — A potential cyclone looms on the horizon as a low-pressure area (LPA), currently situated 1,400 kilometers east of northeastern Mindanao, is anticipated to intensify within the day or by Tuesday, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

Weather expert Obet Badrina indicated that there is a likelihood of the system entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Wednesday, although he emphasized that these predictions are subject to change.

As the LPA remains outside the PAR, PAGASA is yet to finalize the potential cyclone’s projected path. Concurrently, two weather systems—the shear line and the northeast monsoon, known as “amihan”—are expected to bring rainfall to various parts of the country.

The shear line is poised to trigger scattered rain showers and thunderstorms in the Bicol Region, Aurora, Quezon, and Northern Samar.

PAGASA warns that moderate to heavy rains in these areas may result in flash floods or landslides.

Simultaneously, the northeast monsoon will bring precipitation over Cagayan Valley and Apayao, with isolated light rains anticipated in the Ilocos Region, the remainder of Central Luzon, and the rest of the Cordillera Administrative Region.

Isolated rain showers, attributed to localized thunderstorms, are projected over other parts of the country.

Meanwhile, Northern Luzon is expected to experience moderate to strong winds and moderate to rough seas, creating potentially challenging maritime conditions.

In contrast, elsewhere in the archipelago, winds are forecasted to be light to moderate, accompanied by slight to moderate sea conditions, according to PAGASA.

As the situation unfolds, the nation braces for potential developments in the evolving weather patterns.

(JR AMIGO/ai/mnm)